Is this the first step towards the Official World Rankings?

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Is this the first step towards the Official World Rankings?

Authored by: Cam Homes
on Friday, May 21 2010 @ 03:32 pm ACST

My last instalment of win-loss, who's played who data for the nations currently in the proposed ranking scheme left off with Ireland in 6th place with 43.85 ranking points.

In 5th place are Nauru with 44.20 ranking points.
Nauru has a 7-6 win-loss ratio having two wins apiece over Japan and Canada and 1 win over each of GB, Peace Team and USA. They have not managed to record a win against PNG(3 losses), New Zealand, Denmark and Samoa(1 loss each). One could argue that with losses to both Samoa and Denmark they should be lower in the ranks, but the loss to Denmark was back in IC02 where Denmark actually finished 4th(6th Rank in scheme) and Nauru were 10th. Besides they have scored a win over USA who are ranked in 4th place. There's no rule to say that lower ranked teams aren't allowed to beat a higher ranked team now and then. I believe Nauru's ranking to be pretty sound.

USA come in at 4th place with 44.56 ranking points.
USA has a 19-9 win-loss ratio, the high win record due to an 8-1 ratio over Canada. It has been suggested that USA's ranking is too high because of this, but I should point out that the wins over Canada in 2003, 04 and 07 did not advantage USA nor penalise Canada because the Rating Gap between the teams at the time was greater than 10 anyway. USA is 2-2 with Ireland, 2-1 over SA(the wins back in IC02 and IC05), 2-0 with GB and 1-1 with Denmark. They have scored a win each over Samoa, Spain, China and Japan. On the negative side they are 0-2 against NZ and have lost once to both PNG and Nauru. The loss to Nauru could lead to arguments that Nauru should be higher, but again lower ranked teams are allowed to beat higher ranked teams once in while.

It is worth noting at this stage that gap between USA and PNG who are 3rd with 51.10 ranking points is the biggest between consecutively ranked nations. The rankings here are a good indicator of the relative strengths of PNG and NZ as opposed to the rest of the ranked nations below them.

PNG and NZ in the next instalment.
Cam

Is this the first step towards the Official World Rankings?

Authored by: Cam Homes
on Monday, May 24 2010 @ 10:36 pm ACST

OK. Now for the final instalment of win-loss records and 'who's played who' info for the proposed World Ranking scheme.
My last instalment finished with USA at 4th place with 44.56 ranking points.

Next up the list is PNG in 3rd place with 51.10 ranking points.
PNG along with NZ has the equal third longest history in International Footy starting back in 1995 at the Arafura Games. They also share the longest winning streak of 12 games with Ireland, the first loss being to Ireland in the final of IC02. They have an impressive 22-2 win-loss ratio, the only other loss is to NZ at IC05. PNG's record against NZ is 6-1, they are 4-0 over Nauru, 3-0 against GB, 2-0 over Japan, and have single wins over each of Denmark, Samoa, Canada, USA, Peace Team and South Africa. They also have a win to go with the loss against Ireland. It can be argued that since PNG has a good record over NZ and won the last IC then they should be above NZ in the rankings, but as the rankings are dynamic and older games lose their importance we see that 5 of the wins over New Zealand were prior to IC02. The other factor which has affected PNG ranking point score is the number of matches played against much lower teams where they actually achieved no increase in ranking points.(Rating Gap more than 10). These matches were against Japan,(at IC02), Canada and GB(at IC05) and Nauru, Peace Team and GB(at IC 08).
Compare these with NZ.

Coming 2nd on our ranking scheme is New Zealand with 51.61 ranking points.
NZ has a 16-7 win-loss ratio. 5 of the losses were to PNG prior to IC02. The other losses were to Ireland(at IC02) and PNG in the final of IC08. NZ's record is 4-0 over Samoa, 2-0 over USA and Japan. They have single wins over Nauru, South Africa, Canada, Denmark, GB, Spain and India. Along with the loss to Ireland they have a win at IC08. NZ were 9th leading into IC02 with only 38.33 ranking points so 3 of their matches here recorded the 2.00 max points change..
Also significantly they entered the final of IC05 as the underdog against PNG, and their win gained the 2.00 exchange and PNG lost the max 2.00 points. So at the beginning of IC 08 they were 2.69 ranking points ahead of PNG. NZ had a little harder run at IC08 only having 2 matches where they didn't get any rise in Ranking Points (PNG 3) and even tho PNG gained the max 2.00 and NZ lost max 2.00 it wasn't quite enough to reverse their positions as had happened at IC05.

Obviously Australia is top and even tho they have played no International Games I'm going to ignore all that our scheme is designed to eliminate (ie conjecture, guessing, personal opinion, etc) and allocate Aussie with 90.99 Ranking Points and let everybody then argue the toss with that score. :-)

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