Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

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Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

Authored by: Cam Homes
on Saturday, January 15 2011 @ 12:19 pm ACDT

Looks like The Netherlands will be in the "unlikely" basket along with Peace Team. What's your tip, Aaron, of who is still in the 'certainty' pot and the 'likely' pot at this stage? I've got doubts that we're going to see 24 countries as predicted last year. We might get 18 or 20 but 24 is beginning to look very optimistic to me. Cam

Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

Authored by: Brett Northey
on Saturday, January 15 2011 @ 04:34 pm ACDT

We're in contact with the AFL to find out who has nominated so far. Will post a story as soon as we know.

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

Authored by: Brett Northey
on Tuesday, January 18 2011 @ 11:03 am ACDT

No confirmation yet, but let's speculate.

Aaron previously produced this list in a story.

	Nation	Previous ICs attended
1.	PNG	2002, 05, 08
2.	New Zealand	2002, 05, 08
3.	South Africa	2002, 05, 08
4.	Ireland	2002, 05, 08
5.	Nauru	2002, 08
6.	Canada	2002, 05, 08
7.	USA	2002, 05, 08
8.	Japan	2002, 05, 08
9.	Great Britain	2002, 05, 08
10.	Samoa	2002, 05, 08
11.	Denmark	2002, 08
12.	Tonga	2008 (not in main draw)
13.	Sweden	2008
14.	Finland	2008
15.	China	2008
16.	India	2008
17.	France	(New)
18.	Netherlands	(New)
19.	Croatia	(New)
20.	Fiji	(New)
21.	Portugal	(New)
22.	Austria	(New)
23.	Iceland	(New) - added after story first published

Others with whom the AFL has had correspondence, but no official Expression of Interest as yet (at time of Aaron's story last year):

24.	Peace Team	2008
25.	Vanuatu	(New)
26.	Indonesia	(New)
27.	Italy	(New)

Now, if we start by assuming all of them will come, that's 27. But Austria and Netherlands have now said they are unlikely. 25. I think you can add Vanuatu and Portugal to that category. 23.

This is just speculation, but I would doubt that we would see ALL of Italy, Indonesia, Peace Team, Iceland, Croatia, Tonga, Nauru, Samoa. Of those 8, let's say 3 drop out. It will also be hard work for China, India and Finland.

So I reckon 20 is looking like a good estimate, with a likely range of 18 to 22. Quite a few Oceania countries I suspect would be doubtful for seniors, whereas their juniors are coming along nicely.

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

Authored by: Brett Northey
on Tuesday, January 18 2011 @ 11:06 am ACDT

I didn't mention Switzerland, who do appear to be aiming for IC11.

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

Authored by: Cam Homes
on Tuesday, January 18 2011 @ 01:46 pm ACDT

Pure speculation again but my list is,

Certainties: PNG, NZ, Ireland, Nauru, SA, USA, Denmark, Samoa, GB, Canada, Sweden, Japan, France.

Possibles: Tonga, Fiji, Italy, Croatia, China.

That is a total of 18.

Although, Brett you suggest Switzerland(being a relatively wealthy country) they might just be part of possible's.

Unlikely: India, Indonesia, Vanuatu, Finland, Germany, Peace Team.

Definite NO-GO's Netherlands, Austria, Portugal.

If that is the eventual line up then surely they would have to have the first 10 named teams in Div 1and then the rest in Div 2.

I know that puts Japan and Sweden( 2 teams that have been around for a long time)in Div 2. but I reckon they'd jump at the chance to realistically take home some silverware.

Cam

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Flying Dutchmen tentative on IC11

Authored by: Aaron Richard
on Tuesday, January 18 2011 @ 09:35 pm ACDT

I think some teams will be there that you've got listed as unlikely , e.g. India. Also, some of the ones you have listed as certainties I wouldn't be so sure of.

Crunching the numbers again, it looks like there might be 24 nations after all, but the not the ones I would have tipped a few months ago. But I won't guess at too many more details until I've done some more research.

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Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

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