Lightning tournament opening and seedings

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Lightning tournament opening and seedings

Authored by: Cam Homes
on Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 03:21 pm ACST

Howdy All

I have crunched some numbers and if there are no upsets and no 40 point win matches then after the seeding rounds the world ranks would look like this.

NO IC BONUS applied as these are all shortened matches.

I have South Africa defeating Denmark, Japan defeating Fiji and Ireland and USA being triumphant over Great Britain and Canada again respectively. I think all would expect that the rest of the matches will go the way of the higher ranked nation.

Obviously there will be some 40 pt wins so the winners will recieve slightly higher rates.

Australia
PNG 53.89
NZ 53.84
Ireland 48.89
Nauru 47.50
USA 46.95
South Africa 45.46
Denmark 42.87
Samoa 41.85
Great Britain 40.66
Canada 39.60
Sweden 39.06
Germany 37.37
Japan 35.76
Finland 29.02

Tonga 41.06
Croatia 40.60
Israel/Palestine 37.87
Fiji 37.12
France 35.95
Iceland 35.64
Timor Leste 34.76
China 33.80
India 28.33

Spain 28.00

Only changes are SA climbing above Denmark and Canada rising above Sweden and Fiji, France and Timor Leste joining the Provisional Ranks.

Matches that could see a different outcome are Japan v Fiji, Canada v USA, Ireland v GB or a real dark horse Timor Leste v GB.(Timor Leste have been learning the ropes for the last several years from Aussie Peace Keeping forces, so could well be a surprise packet).

The odds are stacked up against any other upsets but we pundits could all be wrong.

Please! remember there are a number of big ifs and the ranks are no means set in stone.

Cam

Lightning tournament opening and seedings

Authored by: Brett Northey
on Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 04:21 pm ACST

And remember, these are our unofficial rankings.

I would be very surprised if Timor Leste beat GB. They have only been playing for a short time and I'd expect a team very small in stature, whereas obviously it's better to have a good mix with key position players. In fact if they won I'd say it would be the biggest upset in IC history.

---
Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Lightning tournament opening and seedings

Authored by: Cam Homes
on Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 04:43 pm ACST

I did say a real Dark Horse! But they could surprise a few teams, considering the set up in East Timor, playing against and coached by a large expat force over there for about 3 or 4 years now. A small stature would work against them tho'.

I reckon they might do quite well in the 2nd half of the comp.

Cam

---
Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

Lightning tournament opening and seedings

Authored by: Brett Northey
on Friday, July 08 2011 @ 10:06 am ACST

I reckon they'll properly try to follow the fast running style of PNG, but PNG has a much bigger and longer established program. Always interesting to see what style a brand new team brings to the competition.

---
Brett Northey - Co-founder and Chief Editor of WFN

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