Meet the players - Lindsay Kastanek - US Freedom
- Friday, August 15 2014 @ 12:45 pm ACST
- Contributed by: Michael Christiansen
- Views: 1,942
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Who will grab fourth spot and go through to the semi-finals of the 2014 AFL International Cup? It's almost impossible to call.
First up, who will the other 3 be? Our understanding of the AFL's rules for IC14 are that the top team in each pool at the end of Round 3 will go through. As you can see on the ladders (Ladders after Round 2) there's six nations still in contention. Ireland and Nauru, PNG and South Africa, New Zealand and USA are all on 2 wins 0 losses. Each pair are drawn to play each other in Round 3 (Community Round). This doesn't seem likely to be a coincidence. Unless there's a draw there will be one team sitting on top of each pool on 3 wins 0 losses. They go through.
If the matches go on historical form that means Ireland, New Zealand and PNG.
Then the pools are combined to determine 4th spot - the last semi-final position. We've crunched some numbers and come up with some fascinating possibilites, with Nauru, South Africa and the USA all obvious candidates, but Tonga, Fiji, Canada and Great Britain all in with big chances too. That's even tighter than the AFL's run to this year's finals.
The ladders are now taking shape after Round 2 of the 2014 AFL International Cup and with just 1 round remaining before breaking into divisions we can begin to see who is in contention for the coveted Men's semi-finals and a chance to play on the MCG in the Grand Final.
The Women's is straight forward but the Men are divided into 3 pools, with the complication being that the top 4 that go through to the semi-finals after 3 rounds are the top of each pool and then the next best based on combining all the teams - hence we've also shown a Combined ladder. That will also determine the teams that make what the AFL has called Division 1, i.e. teams 5 - 12, and Division 2, i.e. teams 13 to 18.
There are, as always, some bizarre percentages, due to lopsides matches and not in a small way because we've stuck to the AFL / Victorian way of calculating percentage, which is now spreading throughout Australian football throughout the world, namely points for divided by points against multipled by 100, rather than the conventional maths of for divided by (for plus against) multipled by 100. So the % means per 100 points scored by the opposition, not per 100 points of the total scores. As such New Zealand, on 355 for, 0 against, have a percentage that is infinite or undefined.